that in the thousand years subsequent to separation each language loses
19 percent of the morpheme stock they had in common when they were a single
language. Each language retains 81 percent of the original stock. Suppose
we consider an original sample stock of 200 morphemes. Language A will
retain about 162 of them, as will language B. But there is no reason to
expect that the two languages will necessarily lose the same items. The
most probable outcome is that language B will retain 81 percent of the
162 which language A retains as well as 81 percent of the 38 which language
A losses. This means that A and B can be expected to have about 132 or
66 percent of the basic stock in common.
Such a calculation can be reversed. If
66 percent of the basic morpheme stock seems to be cognate in two languages
we may assume that they have been separate for 1,000 years. If 14 percent
is cognate, 2,000 years is the most probable period of separation.
This method known as glottochronolgy, still in the early stages
of development, promises to provide a useful basis for interpreting the
degree of language relationship. It also provides a means of dating certain
events in pre-history. Such dates, like carbon-14 dates, are statistical.
They provide only an estimate of the most probable date, together with
some estimate of the probability of any given deviation from such a date.1
I leave the judgement of the theory of glottochronology
entirely to the intelligent reader.
The only good service the authors of Descriptive
Linguistics have done so far, consists in the elaboration of General Phonetics
through subtle division of the palatal region and into several zones and
fine distinctions of vowels and consonants, and in the creation of certain
technical terms such as phoneme and morpheme. Otherwise, the system of
study is not commendable.
The term Descriptive Linguistics itself
betrays the system, as being devoid of the historical aspect which is
an essential feature of Linguistic Science. The descriptive aspect, pure
and simple, properly belongs to the domain of Grammar.
1.I.D.L.p.343
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